Below-Chance Blindness: Prompted Underperformance in Small LLMs Produces Positional Bias Rather than Answer Avoidance
Detecting sandbagging--the deliberate underperformance on capability evaluations--is an open problem in AI safety. We tested whether symptom validity testing (SVT) logic from clinical malingering detection could identify sandbagging through below-chance performance (BCB) on forced-choice items. In a pre-registered pilot at the 7-9 billion parameter instruction-tuned scale (3 models, 4 MMLU-Pro domains, 4 conditions, 500 items per cell, 24,000 total trials), the plausibility gate failed. Zero of
Record details
Published: 28 April 2026
Source: arXiv
Category: Research
Topics: Bias & fairness · Safety & alignment · Healthcare
Retrieved: 14 July 2026
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How to cite this record
ethics.ai (28 April 2026), “Below-Chance Blindness: Prompted Underperformance in Small LLMs Produces Positional Bias Rather than Answer Avoidance,” evidence record 5275, https://ethics.ai/record/5275 (originally published by arXiv).
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